Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000175 0.000194 0.000214 0.000238 0.000265 0.000294 0.000328
2025-05-04 0.000138 0.000165 0.000197 0.000237 0.000286 0.000345 0.000421
2025-05-11 0.000118 0.000149 0.000187 0.000239 0.000307 0.000395 0.000518
2025-05-18 0.000102 0.000135 0.000177 0.000237 0.000321 0.000435 0.000606
2025-05-25 0.000091 0.000124 0.000169 0.000235 0.000333 0.000473 0.000695
2025-06-01 0.000081 0.000114 0.000161 0.000232 0.000341 0.000506 0.000779
2025-06-08 0.000072 0.000104 0.000151 0.000224 0.000341 0.000524 0.000842
2025-06-15 0.000067 0.000100 0.000148 0.000227 0.000357 0.000569 0.000955
2025-06-22 0.000063 0.000096 0.000147 0.000232 0.000377 0.000622 0.001089
2025-06-29 0.000058 0.000090 0.000140 0.000227 0.000379 0.000646 0.001174
2025-07-06 0.000052 0.000083 0.000131 0.000217 0.000371 0.000651 0.001223
2025-07-13 0.000049 0.000079 0.000128 0.000218 0.000383 0.000691 0.001348
2025-07-20 0.000047 0.000077 0.000128 0.000222 0.000403 0.000752 0.001528
2025-07-27 0.000044 0.000073 0.000124 0.000221 0.000412 0.000795 0.001681
2025-08-03 0.000042 0.000071 0.000122 0.000223 0.000428 0.000853 0.001878
2025-08-10 0.000039 0.000067 0.000118 0.000221 0.000436 0.000896 0.002049
2025-08-17 0.000037 0.000064 0.000115 0.000220 0.000444 0.000939 0.002231
2025-08-24 0.000034 0.000061 0.000111 0.000217 0.000449 0.000976 0.002402
2025-08-31 0.000032 0.000057 0.000106 0.000209 0.000442 0.000985 0.002504
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000056 0.000105 0.000212 0.000459 0.001053 0.002780
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000055 0.000105 0.000216 0.000480 0.001136 0.003119
2025-09-21 0.000028 0.000052 0.000101 0.000212 0.000480 0.001162 0.003295
2025-09-28 0.000025 0.000049 0.000095 0.000202 0.000467 0.001154 0.003362